England vs Germany Euro 2021 Predictions & Betting Tips

England vs Germany Euro 2021 Predictions & Betting Tips

England vs Germany will be the seventh game in the knockout stage in Euro 2020. The England vs Germany match will take place on June 29 at 1800 hrs Central Eastern European Summer Time at the Wembley Stadium in London.

England Form, Predicted line up and Tactics

England qualified to the knockout stage in Euro 2021 as winners of group D. England won 2 of their games and drew 1 game and finished the group stage without conceding a single goal.This is the first time they have qualified for the knockout stage without conceding a single goal in a major tournament since the 1986 World Cup.

England have been pretty solid defensively and have now kept a clean sheet in 15 of their last 19 games and have only conceded 5 goals in these games.

Going into this game against Germany, England have played 8 games in 2021 and have been unbeaten in these games. England has also won 7 of these games and drew one of them and just conceded once in all these games.

But while England is defensively solid and disciplined they haven’t exactly come across as a very attacking team. England hasn’t scored more than 1 goal in their last 5 games. 

England’s second game in the Euros against Scotland ended in a 0-0 draw and it wasn’t a match that neutral fans would have loved to watch. England created the 4th fewest gol scoring attempts amongst 24 teams during the group stage.

Check out our predictions for the Euro 2020 Final!

England is also the first team in the European Championships to top their group with the fewest goals scored (2).

In 2021 England shifted from a 3-4-3 formation to a 4-3-3 formation. They like to build up attacks paitently from the back and prefer to counter-attack quickly with their pacey forwards.

As neutral fans we personally felt that England were playing a bit too cautiously in the group stages instead of playing more directly but from a tactical perspective they did a good job in maintaining their shape and preventing attacks.

We expect England to switch back to a 3-4-3 shape in the England vs Germany match in the knockout stage of Euro 2020.

The reason for that is quite simple, England would want a numerical advantage in midfield, to prevent attacks from the wings. England would seek to quickly attack Germany on the break as soon as they win the ball.

If England are in possession of the ball we expect them to build up slowly and patiently, prioritizing high possession and attacking Germany quickly as soon as they find space with line breaking passes.

During the group stage however, we didn’t see England do this because they were playing cautiously. It will be interesting to see whether England will be more aggressive and direct against Germany.

How England will attack

Southgate tends to set up his side defensively but in such an important game he might be a bit more daring.

Usually, the defenders tend to stay deep but in this game he could push them higher up the pitch and allow them more freedom considering their center backs are ball playing center backs and have the ability to progress play and make line breaking passes.

England will attack from width with their fullbacks Luke Shaw and Kieran Trippier. Harry Kane likes to drop deep to collect the ball, make forward passes to his team mate and then rush into attack.

Maguire can whip in long balls from the left, while Stones can push up when needed and can form a diamond between himself, Kane and the two midfielders Rice and Kalvin Phillips.

Kyle Walker is a natural right back and if more pressure needs to be put on Germany, Walker can push forward and offer more passing options on the right for this diamond.

Walker could also interchange with Trippier in attack and his position can help prevent attacks on England’s right side.

Sterling and Foden will cut inside the box instead of staying wide.

These two will have to work very hard to fall back when England loses possession.

England Predicted line up

England will be missing out on Mason Mount after both he and Ben Chilwell were forced to quarantine after they hugged their Chelsea teammate Billy Gilmour during the England vs Scotland game and Billy Gilmour tested positive for Covid after the game.

He could have started from the right because he is also good at falling back and defending.

3-4-3

Germany Form, Predicted line up and Tactics

After a 15 year stint as the head coach of Germany, Joachim Low will resign after Euro 2021. 

Germany had mixed fortunes before the start of Euro 2020 .Germany’s form in 2021 has been mixed. Prior to Euro 2020 they played 5 games,winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 2-1 to North Macedonia.

Even though Germany lost 1-0 to France, the Germans played well, creating many chances, especially in the second half.

Germany did quite well against Portugal by stretching the play wide and involving Ginter in attack. 

However they were very poor against Hungary both defensively and in attack before Muller, Goretzka and Musiala were introduced to help them score 2 goals and draw level against Hungary and qualify as runners up in Group F.

Germany’s mainstay in defence in previous tournaments, Mats Hummels was dropped by the manager in 2019 who said that he would plan without Hummels for the foreseeable future, along with his club teammates Jérôme Boateng and Thomas Müller.

Jogi Low experimented with many players but failed to find his perfect center backs and he reintroduced Hummels and Muller to the squad.

While Muller has justified his reintroduction to the squad, Hummels has struggled in Euro 2020.

He conceded an own goal against France and had a miserable performance against Hungary.

Due to lack of options at the back the preferred center backs now seem to Rudiger and Hummels if 2 center backs are being played while Ginter is added if Germany sticks to a formation requiring 3 center backs. 

From a 4-2-3-1 formation Die Manschafft has shifted to a 3-4-3 formation in recent games.

Kimmich has retained his place as the preferred right wingback and his attacking prowess from the wings has been particularly impressive.

We expect Germany to press high against England.

Toni Kroos seems to be the mainstay in midfield while he can be partnered with Gundogan who had an excellent season with Manchester City or Leon Goretzka.

Goretzka missed the game against France due to injury and he is unlikely to start against Portugal. But he put in a wonderful performance when he rescued Germany with his goal in the second half against Hungary.

Gosens was excellent against France and he will be expected to start as the left wingback.

Toni Kroos and Gundogan will start in midfield due to uncertainty surrounding Goretzka’s fitness. 

Germany lacks a proper striker. Gnabry has often started in this position, Timo Werner often slots into this position but they lack clinical finishing. This was obvious in their game against France where many amazing opportunities were created without being converted.

How Germany will attack

Germany will look to press England very aggressively and try to cover Declan Rice so that he doesn’t have passing options and struggles to progress the ball.

This tactic was used by Scotland to great effect against England which resulted in the game ending in a 0-0 draw.

Germany knows that England is a hard team to break down and are capable of making line breaking aerial balls, something Hummels had struggled with so they will be wary of this and the defensive line might not be pushed too high.

They might use the tactic they used against Portugal to attack from the wings by adding the wide centerbacks. In the game against Portugal, Kimmich would drop deep, draw out Bernardo Silva, while Ginter sneaked around from his defensive positions, progress the ball and make crosses into the box or make long ball to the other wingback, Gosens.

If they can’t make this move on the right, they will do it from the left by passing backwards.

Another way Germany could attack is shown in the picture above. In this case Germany is attacking from the left. The Left midfielder, Gosens is a bit deeper while kimmich is also sitting a bit deeper than usual but higher than Gosens.

This would give Germany many options like doing what we discussed above with Gosens making a long ball to kimmich, or playing combinations with havertz and kross to either cut inside the box while havertz moves wide to make a cross or allowing kroos to make a diagonal run so that he can make a cross, or move forward and occupy the space Havertz leaves as he drifts wide.

The space that Kroos would leave would then be filled by Gosens.This would help protect Germany from counter attacks.

England vs Germany Euro 2021 Odds

Bookmakers are offering the following odds for the England vs Germany match in the round of 16 in Euro 2020:

England 2.55Draw 3.20Germany 2.90

Based on these odds we can see that bookmakers are giving a slight advantage to England and believe that England has a slightly better chance of winning.

Bookmaker offers for the England vs Germany in Euro 2020

In our opinion, b-bets is one of the best bookmakers for betting on the Euro 2020 games. They currently have a cashback offer that gives you €1 back for every €5 you make on a bet on the Euro 2020. .

You can click on the following image to visit b-Bets and claim this offer in their promotion section.

England vs Germany Euro 2021 Predictions

Matches like this with two equally matched teams are very hard to predict. That being said, we will try to make a calculated guess for this Euro 2020 knockout match between England and Germany.

We will try to predict this game based on the tactics these two teams employed during the group stage. When it comes to predicting England’s tactics for this game though, that is easier said than done.

We already mentioned how England played during the group stage but until this point in the competition they haven’t come across a tough team so they could switch things up instead of the cautious football they played during the group stage.

We personally feel that they will continue to play this cautious style unless they concede a goal first.

We won’t be surprised to see this game being decided in extra time or penalties.

We already pointed out the weaknesses that Germany has been suffering from during the competition and even before, which was the leaky defence,Hummels being the primary culprit.

We don’t expect this game to have plenty of goals but then again that depends on two factors:

England conceding an early goalEngland’s decision to play more boldly.

Raheem Sterling scored both of England’s goals during the group stage while Germany’s top scorer is Kai Havertz and he scored 2 goals as well.

England vs Germany Betting Tips

If you read our articles on football betting systems and football betting tips, you would realize England vs Germany is the perfect match to place a bet on in Euro 2020.

The reason for that is simple, the odds for both teams are above 2.0 and it will be a closely contested match.

This means that you can triple your money by betting on England or a draw and double your money if you bet on Germany.

That being said, we have a betting tip for you that could help you win some money no matter who wins…

Place one bet on England to win and one bet(of equal amount) on Germany  to win. In this case you only lose your money if there is a draw but that is unlikely to happen in such a crucial game.

So essentially what you do is you split your budget for the game. Let’s say you have a budget of €200 for this game. You place one bet of €100 on England and another €100 on Germany.

If Germany wins your Profit percentage would be 31.03% because your Profit would be €290-€200=€90.

If England wins you would still end up with a 21.57% profit (€255-€200=€55. 55 is 21.57% of 200).

Sure, this system means that your profit percentage would be lower if you just bet on one team (190 % profit if you just bet on Germany and 155% if you just bet on England) but this system reduces the chances that you will lose your money.

Keep in mind that this is not a fool proof system. If the match ends in a draw you will lose but as we pointed out earlier, the likelihood of a draw is very low.

TeamOddsBet AmountWinProfit %Germany2.90€100€29031.03%England2.55€100€25521.57%

Some other betting options you can opt for during the England vs Germany game in Euro 2020 are:

Bet on the game going into overtime. Odds 2.95Under 2 goals to be scored in the game. Odds 2.34England to win with a total of under 2.5 goals scored during the match. Odds 4.90Germany to win with a total of under 2.5 goals scored during the match. Odds 5.40.Raheem Sterling to score and England to win. Odds 13.0Raheem Sterling to score and Germany to win. Odds 90.0Kai Havertz to score and Germany to win. Odds 16.0Kai Havertz to score and Germany to win. Odds 90.0

Euro 2020 match predictions for other knockout stage games:

We have match predictions for other games in the round of 16 in Euro 2020. Feel free to check them out!

Italy vs AustriaNetherlands vs Czech RepublicBelgium vs Portugal

Euro 2020 Final: Italy vs England Predictions,Odds & Betting Tips

Euro 2020 Final: Italy vs England Predictions,Odds & Betting Tips 

After nearly a month of some action packed football we have finally reached the final of Euro 2020! Euro 2020 was full of twists and turns and goals and of course, some amazing performances both at an individual and team level.

In this article we will be giving you our predictions for the Euro 2020 final game between Italy and England and try to answer the question “who will win Euro 2020?”. We will also be sharing some betting tips for the Italy vs England game that could help you get a bang for your buck.

But before we get there let’s take a look at the numbers and how Italy and England reached the final…

Bookmaker odds for Euro 2020 Winners Before the tournament

We have mentioned the odds and probability of the top 8 teams that bookmakers expected to win just before Euro 2021 kicked off. These odds were calculated on June 7 2021, just 4 days before Euro 2020 kicked off.

TeamOddsProbability of winning Euro 2020FIFA rankRank in EuropeFrance5.6517.10%22England6.216.10%43Belgium7.513.30%11Germany911.10%128Portugal9.3110.74%54Italy9.510.50%76Spain9.7510.30%65Netherlands13.87.26%1611

As we can see from the data above, France were clear favorites to lift the European Championship in 2021 and were closely followed by England .

Italy on the other hand were not even in the top 5 teams in terms of probability of winning Euro 2020.

Biggest Upsets During Euro 2020

Just like many major tournaments,. Euro 2020 saw some major upsets.How did Italy beat the odds to reach the final of Euro 2020? Why did France not reach the final? We will answer all those questions below:

The first major upset could have occurred on June 23 when Germany faced Hungary. Hungary was leading 2-1 in the 68th minute. This would have resulted in Germany not qualifying for the knockout stage in a major tournament since the 1984 World Cup. But a goal from Goretzka saved Germany from this fate and they qualified for the knockout stage where they faced England.
The first major upset in Euro 2020 happened on june 27 in the round of 16 when Switzerland who had 1.45% probability to win Euro 2020 defeated the tournament favorites France.
The second major upset happened the next day when the Netherlands were defeated by Czech Republic. The Czech Republic had a 0.76% chance of winning Euro 2020 compared to the Netherlands who had a 7.26% chance and performed exceptionally well during the group stage.

Who will be the Top Scorer in Euro 2020 Odds and Predictions

PlayerGoalsOddsProbabilityCristiano Ronaldo52.4740%Patrik Schick52.4740%Harry Kane44.223.80%Raheem Sterling3214.80%Ciro Immobile21001%

From the odds table for the top scorer in Euro 2020 we can see that Ronaldo and Patrick Schick seem to be the favorites to win the golden boot in Euro 2020.

Harry Kane comes in next after scoring 4 goals in his last 4 games. He has a 23.8% probability of being the top scorer and we take into consideration the fact that he is also adept at making assists, he has good odds at being the top scorer in Euro 2020.

It could be hard for Raheem Sterling to be but it’s not impossible. He hasn’t scored a goal in the last 2 games but if he manages to score 1 he could end up being the top scorer in Euro 2021. With odds of 21, this could help you potentially win $210 from a $10 bet.

Ciro immobile has a very slim chance of being the top scorer in Euro 2020 with bookmakers giving him a 1% probability. No player has scored a hatrick in the history of the European Championship so it seems unlikely that he might score a hatrick and Harry Kane doesn’t score as well.

But this might be a good bet for a small amount of say $5, which you expect to lose and are placing a bet for fun considering the 100x payout.

Now onto our predictions for the Euro 2020 Final between Italy and England.

Italy vs England Euro 2020 Final Predictions

The Italy vs England game in the finals of Euro 2020 will be a very hard game to predict since both of these teams are evenly matched.

In order to make our predictions we will be relying on the odds set by bookmakers, the form of each team in the tournament and statistics. We won’t be relying on the head to head past results between Italy and England because those games have been played over years.

So let’s get started with comparing the form of Italy and England

England and Italy Comparison of Performance during Euro 2020

England is a team that has been progressively getting better during the course of Euro 2021 while Italy has remained consistent in its performance.

During the group stage, England qualified with 2 wins and a draw and scored just 2 goals but conceded 0 goals. Italy on the other hand scored 7 goals, and conceded 0 goals.

TeamGoals scoredGoals concededShots per gamePossessionItaly702059%England207.354%

Concerns were being raised by England’s “cautious” playing style and some pundits expected England to lose against Germany in the knockout stage. However, England surprised the pundits and won 2-0 against Germany while playing some good entertaining football.

This was a historic win for England and the first time they defeated Germany in the knockout stage of a major tournament in 55 years.

Italy beat Austria in extra time, a team that was renowned for its ability to defend.

In the quarterfinals England faced a relatively easy opponent in Ukraine and yet again played some fantastic football scoring 4 goals and won the game 4-0.

Italy faced a formidable opponent in Belgium who are ranked as the number one team by FIFA. Italy were leading 2-0 in the second half before conceding a penalty which Lukaky converted.

Italy held on as Belgium attacked ruthlessly in the second half while also creating some good scoring opportunities on the counter against the best team in the world.

In the semi finals England dominated Denmark and registered the most shots in any game they played so far with 59% possession and 20 shots while Denmark only managed only 6.

Italy faced another difficult opponent in Spain. Spain were also favorites to win Euro 2020 at the start of the tournament. Italy struck first and then defended well but Spain ultimately equalized with 10 minutes to go and the game went into extra time and was decided on penalties.

We can see that England faced one of the favorites (Germany) on their triumphant march to the final of Euro 2021. Italy on the other hand had to beat 2 other favorites, Belgium and Spain in order to earn their place in the final.

Overall Form of Italy and England

England are unbeaten in 12 games while Italy is unbeaten in 33 games. Both teams have a good defensive record with England’s 7 game streak of clean sheets broken by Denmark while Italy’s clean sheet record was broken in the round of 16.

Italy vs England stats

TeamGoals scoredGoals concededShots per gamePossessionItaly1231852%England1019.553%

After the knockout stage, England has picked up a lot of goals and their shots per game have increased. Both teams look evenly matched in terms of the team stats

Now we will compare the stats of key players starting with the midfield

Italy beat England in terms of creating through balls with a combined average of 1.8 through balls between Jorginho(11th highest through ball rate in Euro 2020),Insigne,Immobile and Barrella.

Only Luke shaw (18th) features in terms of creating long balls in the top 20 players who created through balls

Italy are also superior in terms of key passes stats

Barrella has created the third highest key passes per game, followed by Insigne who is seventh and Spinnazzola who is 15th

England only has Mason Mount on that list of top 20 players in Euro 2020 with the highest key passes per game and he is ranked 16th

The Italians also dominate in stats for shots per game with 3 players featuring in the top 20 while England have no players on that list

If you look at the stats for interceptions and tackles per game you will notice Italy yet again outperforms England.

Italy vs England Euro 2020 Final Odds

The odds are constantly changing for this game. As of july 8 2021,bookmakers are offering the following odds for the Italy vs England game in the Euro 2020 final:

England 2.65Draw 3.00Italy 2.95

From these odds we can clearly see that bookmakers believe that the game odds are very close between the two games which means that Bookmakers believe the game could go either way.

However, based on the lower odds and payout for England, we can see that bookmakers favor England to win.

Who will win in the final of Euro 2020 between Italy and England

We at slotfreespin disagree with the bookmakers odds and favor Italy to win Euro 2020. We disagree with the bookmakers because there is a chance that bookmakers are offering lower payouts for England because English fans around the world might be more exciting and backing their team compared to Italians.

Keep in mind that the gambling profits are larger in the UK compared to Italy. The UK market is worth $3.8 billion while the Italian market is worth $1.7 billion. 

We believe Italy will win by very fine margins but England will manage to score. We predict Italy will win 2-1 in the Euro 2020 final.

Italy will in our opinion because statistically they have technically better players with higher interceptions,tackles per game, key passes per game and through balls per game compared to England’s players.

Bookmaker offers for betting on Italy vs England in the Euro 2020 final

In our opinion, b-bets is one of the best bookmakers for betting on the Euro 2020 final game between Italy and England. b-Bets currently has a cashback offer that gives you €1 back for every €5 you make on a bet on the Euro 2020. 

You can click on the following image to visit b-Bets and claim this offer in their promotion section.

Where will the Euro 2020 final between Italy and England take place?

The Euro 2020 final between Italy and England will take place on July 11,2021 at the Wembley stadium in London. The game will kick off at 2100 hrs.

Italy vs England Lineups

Italy Predicted line up

4-3-3

Donnarumma,Emerson,Bonucci,Chiellini,Florenzi,Verratti,Jorginho,Barella,Insigne,Immobile,Chiesa

England predicted line up

4-2-3-1

Pickford,Shaw,Maguire,Walker,Rice,Kalvin Phillips,Grealish,Mount,Sterling,Kane

Italy vs England Euro 2020 Final Betting Tips

If you read our articles on football betting systems and football betting tips, you would realize Italy vs England is the perfect match to place a bet on in Euro 2020.

The reason for that is simple, the odds for both teams are above 2.0 and it will be a closely contested match.

We have a betting tip for you that could help you win some money no matter who wins…

Place one bet on Italy to win and one bet(of equal amount) on Spain  to win. In this case you only lose your money if there is a draw but that is unlikely to happen in such a crucial game.

So essentially what you do is you split your budget for the game. Let’s say you have a budget of €200 for this game. You place one bet of €100 on Italy and another €100 on Spain.

If Italy wins your Profit percentage would be 47.5% because your Profit would be €310-€200=€95 and 110 is 47.5% of your investment of 200.

If England wins you would still end up with a 32.5% profit (€265-€200=€65 is 32.5% of 200).

Sure, this system means that your profit percentage would be lower if you just bet on one team (195 % profit if you just bet on Italy and 165% if you just bet on England) but this system reduces the chances that you will lose your money.

Keep in mind that this is not a fool proof system. If the match ends in a draw.

TeamOddsBet AmountWinProfit %Italy2.95€100€29547.5%England2.65€100€26532.5%